Hurricane Lynn
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 11 · OR 62
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Delaware Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | Horacio Karamanos | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | Samuel Marin | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | Horacio Karamanos | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | Jose Vargas | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 82% | -0.09 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 08/10/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |