9

It's Fine

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 73

Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 27/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f 11927/08C9C9 @ Colonial Downs 26/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 80 par26/06C9OR 80C9 @ Colonial Downs 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 81 par1/08C9OR 81C9 @ Laurel Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 12218/09C9projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Laurel ParkCharlie Marquez?5th5th0
2026-08-01Colonial DownsJareth Loveberry?4th4th0
2026-06-26Colonial DownsMalcolm Franklin?7th7th0
2025-08-27Colonial DownsAxel Concepcion?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0826/061/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 49/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20252nd15/890%89%-0.01
26/06/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
01/08/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
18/09/20265th3/184%64%-0.21