2
Morganite Rose
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 52
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Delaware Park | Ajhari Williams | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | Sara Hess | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | Samuel Marin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +19.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 07/10/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |