4
Whiskey Brew
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 42
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Charles Town | Jasmine McGuin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | Jasmine McGuin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | Jasmine McGuin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |