Little Crybaby
5yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 72
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Delaware Park | Jose Batista | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | Jose Batista | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | Jose Batista | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | Jose Batista | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | Marvin Fernandez | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | Marvin Fernandez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 16/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |