
Preparefortakeoff
7yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Laurel Park | Leandro Briceno | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Laurel Park | Leandro Briceno | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | Jean Briceno | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | Jean Briceno | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | Jean Briceno | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/11/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 04/10/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |