6

Rock Tune
5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Presque Isle Downs | Walber Alencar | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-09-28 | Presque Isle Downs | Walber Alencar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | Walber Alencar | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | Walber Alencar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | Martina Rojas | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | Martina Rojas | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 28/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/10/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |