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Sugar Bee

5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 92

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 31/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 92 · 5f Yie 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 92 par31/07C6OR 92C0 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 117C6 @ Laurel Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 90 par27/09C6OR 90C7 @ Laurel Park 10/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 92 parC8 @ Laurel Park 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 92 par8/05C8OR 92C7 @ Delaware Park 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 90 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Delaware Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 91 · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 91 par4/07C5OR 91C7 @ Laurel Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Laurel Park 10/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 94 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark10/10/2026 · OR 94 par10/10C7OR 94projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?7th7th0
2026-09-18Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?1st1st0
2026-07-04Delaware ParkRaul Mena?8th6th+2
2026-06-10Delaware ParkJevian Toledo?3rd3rd0
2026-05-08Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?6th7th−1
2025-10-10Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0710/104/0710/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20255th8/158%33%-0.25
30/08/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
27/09/20255th10/147%56%+0.08
10/10/20252nd10/382%83%+0.01
08/05/20266th9/488%17%-0.71
10/06/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
04/07/20268th10/147%0%-0.47
18/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
10/10/20267th15/261%25%-0.36