Diminuto Burrito

2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 34

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼1

Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-22	Delaware Park	Matilda Burnham	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-14	Laurel Park	Matilda Burnham	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 16-16 · tight 71/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -45.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/06/2026	8th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
22/07/2026	5th	13/2	66%	20%	-0.46