12

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2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 12 · OR 64

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

71%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 25/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS25/09C6C9 @ Laurel Park 15/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark15/10/2026 · OR 55 par15/10C9OR 55projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15Laurel ParkJeiron Barbosa?2nd2nd0
2026-09-25Laurel ParkJeiron Barbosa?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0915/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +55.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20268th9/276%13%-0.64
15/10/20262nd6/492%83%-0.09