
Replicate
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 12 · OR 64
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +55.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 15/10/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |