Side Hug

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 65

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼3

Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-25	Laurel Park	Horacio Karamanos	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-09-03	Colonial Downs	Sonny Leon	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2026-08-06	Colonial Downs	Sonny Leon	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength91%

Delivery trend -11.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
06/08/2026	4th	20/1	0%	50%	+0.50
03/09/2026	4th	25/1	0%	57%	+0.57
25/09/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	75%	+0.28