Chilling Factor
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 85
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | Jose Batista | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | Declan Cannon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | Declan Cannon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | Jose Morelos | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | Wesley Ho | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | Wesley Ho | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |