Devastating
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | Jevian Toledo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | Jevian Toledo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | Forest Boyce | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | Forest Boyce | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | Jose Ortiz | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 20/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |