Juniper Juice
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | Chantal Sutherland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | Forest Boyce | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-12-12 | Laurel Park | Forest Boyce | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |