Mrs. Katz
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 93
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | Paco Lopez | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | Jose Ferrer | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | Carol Cedeno | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | Sonny Leon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |