My Ronda
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 75
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Delaware Park | Jareth Loveberry | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | Jose Betancourt | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | Martin Chuan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Delaware Park | Martin Chuan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Delaware Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 12/12/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 03/10/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |