Sleepwalker
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 91
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | Mychel Sanchez | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | Sheldon Russell | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | Jevian Toledo | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | Sheldon Russell | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | Sheldon Russell | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Laurel Park | Victor Carrasco | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 09/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |