1

Synergism

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 88

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 28/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 7f 121 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 80 par28/12C8OR 80C5 @ Penn National 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 84 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Laurel Park 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 77 par24/04C8OR 77C5 @ Laurel Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Delaware Park 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 85 par28/05C5OR 85C7 @ Laurel Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 86 par18/07C7OR 86C7 @ Delaware Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 90 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 87 par3/09C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Colonial DownsMychel Sanchez?3rd4th−1
2026-08-07Delaware ParkMartin Chuan?6th6th0
2026-07-18Colonial DownsJorge Ruiz?4th4th0
2026-06-20Laurel ParkYedsit Hazlewood?3rd3rd0
2026-05-28Delaware ParkPaco Lopez?1st-1th+2
2026-05-16Laurel ParkYedsit Hazlewood?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1216/0518/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20255th9/488%33%-0.55
02/04/20263rd5/696%33%-0.62
24/04/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20
16/05/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37
28/05/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
20/06/20263rd5/696%75%-0.21
18/07/20264th9/488%50%-0.38
07/08/20266th6/594%0%-0.94
03/09/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06