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9

Verdant Tones

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 75

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m110y 11829/05C9C9 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11921/06C9C6 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 71 · 1m Yie 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 71 par5/09C6OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Colonial DownsJevian Toledo?1st0th+1
2026-06-21Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?7th9th−2
2026-05-29Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0521/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +53.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20264th6/168%25%-0.43
21/06/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
05/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63