Braquet
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Penn National | Ricardo Chiappe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | Ricardo Chiappe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Penn National | David Cora | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Penn National | Ricardo Chiappe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | David Cora | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Penn National | David Cora | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/10/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |