Bugged Out
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | Angel Moreno | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | David Cora | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Penn National | David Cora | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | Raul Mena | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | Raul Mena | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Penn National | David Cora | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |