
Diamond N Dress
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 75
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Laurel Park | Jose Vargas | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | Jose Vargas | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | Jose Vargas | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Laurel Park | Jose Vargas | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |