7

Diamond N Dress

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 75

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 64 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 64 par16/01C8OR 64C8 @ Laurel Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Laurel Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 61 · 1m 124 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 61 par13/03C8OR 61C6 @ Laurel Park 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 66 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 66 parC5 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 70 par18/04C5OR 70C6 @ Laurel Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 62 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 62 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 71 par19/07C6OR 71C7 @ Delaware Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m70y 116 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Laurel Park 25/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark25/09/2026 · OR 75 par25/09C8OR 75projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Laurel ParkJose Vargas?3rd4th−1
2026-08-07Delaware ParkEmanuel Rosario?5th5th0
2026-07-19Colonial DownsJose Vargas?7th6th+1
2026-05-10Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?5th4th+1
2026-04-18Laurel ParkJose Vargas?7th5th+2
2026-04-03Laurel ParkJose Vargas?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/013/0419/0725/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
20/02/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
13/03/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
03/04/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
18/04/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
10/05/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
19/07/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
07/08/20265th11/271%20%-0.51
25/09/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19