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2

Kiss Me Mo

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 78

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 12/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 88 · 5f Fas 119 · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 88 par12/09C7OR 88C6 @ Laurel Park 10/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 74 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 74 parC6 @ Laurel Park 31/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 75 par31/10C6OR 75C6 @ Laurel Park 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 65 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 65 parC6 @ Laurel Park 12/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 68 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 68 par12/12C6OR 68C6 @ Laurel Park 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Laurel Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 69 par27/06C6OR 69C6 @ Colonial Downs 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 7f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 75 parC6 @ Laurel Park 27/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 7f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2026 · OR 70 par27/09C6OR 70projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Laurel ParkJose Vargas?1st0th+1
2026-07-23Colonial DownsJose Vargas?2nd1st+1
2026-06-27Laurel ParkYomar Ortiz?2nd1st+1
2026-06-05Laurel ParkIsmerio Villalobos?9th8th+1
2025-12-12Laurel ParkIsmerio Villalobos?3rd2nd+1
2025-11-21Laurel ParkIsmerio Villalobos?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0921/1127/0627/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 80/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20254th5/493%57%-0.36
10/10/20252nd5/174%91%+0.17
31/10/20258th10/382%13%-0.70
21/11/20253rd15/261%71%+0.11
12/12/20253rd8/158%50%-0.08
05/06/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
27/06/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
23/07/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
27/09/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03