3

Law School

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 76

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 07/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 84 par7/12C6OR 84C5 @ Laurel Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 85 · 7f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Laurel Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 85 · 1m 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 85 par21/03C5OR 85C5 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 78 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 78 par16/05C6OR 78C6 @ Laurel Park 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 27/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 82 par27/08C6OR 82C7 @ Delaware Park 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 6f 120 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 77 parC7 @ Laurel Park 02/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 76 par2/10C7OR 76projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Laurel ParkJaime Rodriguez?3rd3rd0
2026-09-17Delaware ParkJaime Rodriguez?1st1st0
2026-08-27Colonial DownsCarlos Lopez?8th7th+1
2026-06-26Laurel ParkYedsit Hazlewood?5th4th+1
2026-05-16Belmont At The Big AJaime Rodriguez?5th4th+1
2026-04-18Laurel ParkYedsit Hazlewood?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1218/0427/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
21/02/20262nd6/594%67%-0.27
21/03/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
18/04/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
16/05/20265th5/174%0%-0.74
26/06/20265th9/276%20%-0.56
27/08/20268th33/10%0%0.00
17/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
02/10/20263rd4/596%50%-0.46