6

Moon Cache

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 82

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 76 · 1m1f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 76 par7/03C5OR 76C5 @ Laurel Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 77 · 1m110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 75 par18/04C5OR 75C5 @ Delaware Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Delaware Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 70 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 70 par6/06C5OR 70C5 @ Delaware Park 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Delaware Park 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 82 par29/07C5OR 82C5 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 85 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Delaware Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 86 par5/09C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Delaware ParkRaul Mena?8th6th+2
2026-08-08Delaware ParkRaul Mena?2nd0th+2
2026-07-29Delaware ParkRaul Mena?4th2nd+2
2026-06-24Delaware ParkRaul Mena?6th4th+2
2026-06-06Delaware ParkRaul Mena?4th2nd+2
2026-05-20Delaware ParkRaul Mena?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0320/0529/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20263rd4/596%0%-0.96
28/03/20265th11/271%0%-0.71
18/04/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
20/05/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
06/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
24/06/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
29/07/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
08/08/20262nd5/493%75%-0.18
05/09/20268th14/126%22%-0.04