4

Secret Journey

5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 65

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mahoning Valley 05/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 60 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/01/2026 · OR 60 par5/01C6OR 60C6 @ Mahoning Valley 03/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 1m Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 69 parC6 @ Penn National 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 66 par20/03C6OR 66C6 @ Laurel Park 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 66 · 1m110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 66 parC5 @ Penn National 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 67 par8/05C5OR 67C5 @ Penn National 04/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 69 · 1m70y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 69 parC7 @ Penn National 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 70 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 70 par13/08C7OR 70C6 @ Delaware Park 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 65 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 65 parC0 @ Penn National 09/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m70y 1249/10C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09Penn NationalDavid Cora?1st1st0
2026-09-03Delaware ParkRicardo Chiappe?4th3rd+1
2026-08-13Penn NationalDavid Cora?4th4th0
2026-06-04Penn NationalDavid Cora?10th8th+2
2026-05-08Penn NationalDavid Cora?6th4th+2
2026-04-24Laurel ParkSheldon Russell?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0124/0413/089/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
03/02/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
20/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
24/04/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
08/05/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
04/06/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
13/08/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
03/09/20264th33/10%25%+0.25
09/10/20261st12/137%100%+0.63