The Goddess Factor
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | Forest Boyce | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Laurel Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Laurel Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |