6
Celtic Flame
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 98
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | Jose Ortiz | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | Walter Rodriguez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | Walter Rodriguez | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Turfway Park | Walter Rodriguez | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-16 · tight 37/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 44% | -0.42 |