5
Contribution
4yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 99
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Fair Grounds | Marcelino Jr Pedroza | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Fair Grounds | Jose Ortiz | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Fair Grounds | Axel Concepcion | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Fair Grounds | Axel Concepcion | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Cruz La De | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2016-06-29 | Charles Town | Victor Rodriguez | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 54/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/2016 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/06/2016 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |