10
Daring Venture
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 83
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | Sheldon Russell | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Colonial Downs | Sheldon Russell | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | Sheldon Russell | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Pimlico | Sheldon Russell | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Laurel Park | Victor Carrasco | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2024-12-21 | Laurel Park | Victor Carrasco | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 32/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 16/11/2024 | 6th | 5/6 | 96% | 29% | -0.67 |
| 21/12/2024 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 25/01/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |