8
Start Tappin
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 85
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m
#15
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Laurel Park | Jean Briceno | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Laurel Park | Jean Briceno | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | Jean Briceno | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | Jean Briceno | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | Jean Briceno | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | Jean Briceno | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 15-16 · tight 84/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 27/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 09/10/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |