13
Lilibeth Smart
5yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Societe Du Trotteur Francais - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength4%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Marseille-borely | D Cinier | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | M Cinier | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | M Cinier | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | M Cinier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | D Cinier | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | M Cinier | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 56% | -0.37 |
| 22/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |