11

Love Me True

5yo Filly · 0-0

Marseille · Prix De La Societe Du Trotteur Francais - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Agen 23/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 023/10C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 22/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Agen 18/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 018/11C?4 @ Toulouse 03/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Marseille-borely 24/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS24/044C0 @ Marseille-borely 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 013/07C?3 @ Toulouse 25/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Toulouse 21/10/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 021/10C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-21ToulouseM Grasset?9th9th0
2026-09-25ToulouseM Grasset311th9th+2
2026-09-03Beaumont-De-LomagneM Grasset?0
2026-07-13Beaumont-De-LomagneP Gesret?3rd3rd0
2026-06-24Marseille-borelyY A Briand?7th7th0
2026-04-24Marseille-borelyP Vercruysse49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/103/0413/0721/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20242nd13/266%92%+0.26
22/10/20252nd50/10%92%+0.92
18/11/20252nd7/282%90%+0.08
03/04/20268th9/276%13%-0.64
24/04/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
24/06/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
13/07/20263rd50/10%80%+0.80
25/09/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
21/10/20269th28/10%38%+0.38