7
Jerico Badrec
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Provence - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength4%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | S Triomphe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Hyeres | M Demissy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-19 | Hyeres | M Demissy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Marseille | N Mourot | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Marseille | M Demissy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Marseille-borely | N Mourot | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength92%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 28/03/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 01/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 02/11/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 42% | -0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |