12
Jim Julry
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Provence - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | J P Gauvin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | Mlle M Mendiboure | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lyon-Parilly | J P Gauvin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | J P Gauvin | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | J P Gauvin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | J P Gauvin | 7 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.12 |
| 09/03/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |