13
Joker Du Midi
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Provence - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Hyeres | Th Gout | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | Th Gout | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | Th Gout | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | E Gout | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | Th Gout | 7 | 12th | 14th | −2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | Mlle C Salamani | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 12/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 20/03/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/10/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |