9
Jonquillete Crepin
7yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Provence - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chartres | G Lenain | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-10-07 | Enghien | A Randon | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | P ph Ploquin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | A Randon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Laval | F Poisson | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | J Ferron | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/10/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 10% | -0.64 |
| 06/04/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/10/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/10/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |