8
Jup And Star
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Provence - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#5
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Salon-De-Provence | J Guelpa | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | Hyeres | J Guelpa | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-22 | Marseille-borely | J Guelpa | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | J Ch Sorel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | J Ch Sorel | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | J Ch Sorel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 5-13 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 22/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.12 |
| 09/10/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 24/10/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |