4
Justice Prouvee
7yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Provence - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#13
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | P ph Ploquin | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | A Jannier | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Caen | M Mottier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | T Calo | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Enghien | A Jannier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-02 | Cabourg | Y Lebourgeois | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2024 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/06/2024 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/10/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 17/03/2025 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 41% | -0.14 |
| 24/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |