4
Iliade Du Goutier
8yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille · Prix Du Comite Regional Du Trot - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#3
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | M Cinier | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | Y A Briand | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Lyon-Parilly | J Cuoq | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Lyon La Soie | Mme Ch Masselon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-11 | Lyon La Soie | J Cuoq | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Saint Galmier | J Cuoq | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 23/02/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/04/2025 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 01/02/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |