Illico De Bouteau
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix Du Comite Regional Du Trot - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | R Hemery | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | R Hemery | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | R Hemery | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | J Koubiche | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | R Hemery | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | R Hemery | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |