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14

Jalapeno

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille · Prix Du Comite Regional Du Trot - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 013/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 04 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS8/0145 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 04 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS28/0245 @ Marseille-borely 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 05 @ Marseille-borely 07/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 07/0553 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Cavaillon 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS18/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18CavaillonTh Briand31st-1th+2
2026-07-25Cagnes-sur-MerR Derieux31st-1th+2
2026-05-07Marseille-borelyTh Briand52nd2nd0
2026-04-17Marseille-borelyTh Briand?0
2026-03-20Marseille-borelyTh Briand51st1st0
2026-02-28Cagnes-sur-MerN Ensch44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1212/027/0518/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -7.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20253rd33/10%83%+0.83
23/12/20258th28/10%50%+0.50
08/01/20266th12/137%62%+0.25
12/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
28/02/20264th5/287%70%-0.17
20/03/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
07/05/20262nd11/486%90%+0.04
25/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
18/09/20261st6/492%100%+0.08