11
Hermes Scott
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Camargue _ Prix Geny Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | Ph Danthu | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | O Merle | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | D Lapray | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | Philippe Seiler | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Saint Galmier | O Merle | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | O Merle | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/05/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/06/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |