6
Illa Villa
8yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Camargue _ Prix Geny Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Marseille-borely | St Corbin | 7 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Marseille | J Ch Feron | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Marseille | St Corbin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Salon-De-Provence | St Corbin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-08-22 | Divonne Les Bains | Th Briand | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-07-19 | Feurs | J Ch Sorel | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2023 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 14/01/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/01/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 29/06/2024 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2024 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 26/10/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |