12
Ipso Simardiere
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Camargue _ Prix Geny Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength9%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | D Bekaert | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Hyeres | Th Briand | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | Th Briand | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Marseille-borely | Th Gout | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Marseille-borely | Th Gout | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Marseille | Th Gout | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 25/10/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |