4

Joyeux D'ouxy
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Camargue _ Prix Geny Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Lyon-Parilly | H Lakhrissi | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | Th Clairet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | Mlle S Blanchetiere | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | Th Briand | 7 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | Th Briand | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-13 | Marseille | Th Briand | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/06/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 11/08/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 08/09/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/01/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 13/10/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |