5
Kedermann
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De La Camargue _ Prix Geny Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Hyeres | N Mortagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | M Demissy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hyeres | N Mortagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | M Demissy | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | N Mortagne | 7 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Marseille | N Mourot | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 04/12/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 82% | -0.08 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |