13

Magic Du Saptel

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille · Prix De Redon - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength35%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Strasbourg 15/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 015/05C?C0 @ Reims 09/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 15/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 015/08C?C0 @ Marseille 04/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 023/12C?5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 28/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 019/08C?5 @ Marseille-borely 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Marseille-borely 02/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS2/105projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Marseille-borelyNicolas Germain Lefevre58th7th+1
2026-08-27Marseille-borelyNicolas Germain Lefevre57th6th+1
2026-08-19Cagnes-sur-MerJ Ch Feron?7th7th0
2026-01-28Cagnes-sur-MerNicolas Germain Lefevre52nd1st+1
2025-12-23Cagnes-sur-MerK Thonnerieux?6th6th0
2025-12-04MarseilleK Thonnerieux?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/054/1219/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 83/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20253rd22/10%82%+0.82
09/06/20252nd12/137%80%+0.43
15/08/20258th11/142%22%-0.20
04/12/20256th22/10%67%+0.67
23/12/20256th16/116%55%+0.39
28/01/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
19/08/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
27/08/20267th50/10%60%+0.60
02/10/20268th40/10%53%+0.53