2

Mister De L'etoile

4yo Colt · 0-0

Marseille · Prix De Redon - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#13

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 15/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12315/10C?6 @ Marseille-borely 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 019/0665 @ Marseille-borely 27/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS27/0855 @ Marseille-borely 02/10/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS2/105projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Marseille-borelyGuillaume Lemoine512th11th+1
2026-08-27Marseille-borelyD Desbordes59th8th+1
2026-06-19Marseille-borelyTh Briand68th8th0
2026-03-27Marseille-borelyTh Gout60
2025-10-15CabourgMme L Denis?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1019/0627/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/202511th66/10%33%+0.33
19/06/20268th28/10%53%+0.53
27/08/20269th66/10%47%+0.47
02/10/202612th100/10%27%+0.27