10
Montpellier
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De Redon - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Hyeres | C Derhan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Marseille-borely | Nicolas Germain Lefevre | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | Nicolas Germain Lefevre | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Marseille | Nicolas Germain Lefevre | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-17 | Caen | N Raimbeaux | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2015-04-19 | Auteuil | S Piton | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2012 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 03/07/2012 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 19/05/2013 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 14/10/2014 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 17/03/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |